Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.631427 0.705574 0.785944 0.879694 0.986253 1.103839 1.243736
2025-03-02 0.503066 0.601186 0.715883 0.860525 1.038997 1.253194 1.531524
2025-03-09 0.445617 0.557099 0.694245 0.876716 1.115136 1.418833 1.839370
2025-03-16 0.394800 0.511435 0.660848 0.868367 1.152403 1.532310 2.086948
2025-03-23 0.361376 0.482735 0.643758 0.875977 1.207139 1.669823 2.378369
2025-03-30 0.327743 0.449458 0.615898 0.863877 1.230418 1.762582 2.612928
2025-04-06 0.301759 0.423782 0.595283 0.858535 1.260726 1.865871 2.872199
2025-04-13 0.270814 0.388061 0.556730 0.822322 1.239791 1.887666 3.003303
2025-04-20 0.256141 0.374677 0.549327 0.831673 1.288788 2.021533 3.330612
2025-04-27 0.243269 0.362768 0.542829 0.841238 1.338099 2.159570 3.680117
2025-05-04 0.231114 0.350886 0.535178 0.847809 1.382331 2.292457 4.035357
2025-05-11 0.219302 0.338568 0.525707 0.850200 1.419063 2.415117 4.385656
2025-05-18 0.210450 0.330566 0.522900 0.864102 1.478144 2.585445 4.853083
2025-05-25 0.195813 0.312132 0.501634 0.844452 1.475492 2.642862 5.106719
2025-06-01 0.189057 0.306234 0.500779 0.860362 1.538969 2.830418 5.649666
2025-06-08 0.178709 0.293517 0.487280 0.852184 1.556030 2.929359 6.018401
2025-06-15 0.171812 0.286227 0.482603 0.859634 1.603495 3.093104 6.550459
2025-06-22 0.162453 0.274014 0.468332 0.847789 1.611522 3.176593 6.912308
2025-06-29 0.154816 0.264365 0.457994 0.842559 1.632206 3.288393 7.355482
2025-07-06 0.143460 0.247363 0.433144 0.807103 1.587277 3.254227 7.442213
2025-07-13 0.139045 0.242739 0.430911 0.816259 1.636849 3.432781 8.080966
2025-07-20 0.134928 0.238403 0.428900 0.825624 1.687605 3.619337 8.768715
2025-07-27 0.130690 0.233578 0.425618 0.832057 1.732412 3.796913 9.460647